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aggressive-base-v1

Aggressive Base

Maximum growth potential — crypto-dominated with a small stable buffer.

Aggressive

Aggressive Base is for investors with a long time horizon and a high tolerance for volatility. Three quarters of the portfolio sits in risk assets (BTC + ETH); only 25% is in USDC as a liquidity reserve for drawdown buys.

The 50/25 BTC/ETH split benefits from the independent growth of both assets — historically correlated, but cyclically shifted (BTC tends to lead, ETH follows with higher beta).

Requires discipline: 50%+ drawdowns are statistically expected in bear cycles. Selling in those phases means giving up the strongest historical return source after BTC halvings.

Risk profile

Vol p.a. (expected)45%
Max drawdown (expected)60%
Recommended horizon≥ 24 months
Rebalance trigger10% drift
Cadenceevent-driven (drift ≥ 10%)

Target allocation

How the strategy aims to distribute capital

USDC
25.0%
CBBTC
50.0%
WETH
25.0%

Backtest Dec 2024 – Apr 2026

500 days of real BTC + ETH market data · 3 rebalances at 0.1% swap fee · defillama (BTC + ETH daily closes); USDC modelled at $1.00

Total Return

-15.9%

CAGR

-11.9%

Max drawdown

-41.7%

Vol p.a.

35%

Rebalance day

Walk-forward simulation of the strategy against real BTC and ETH daily closes. Rebalancing fires when drift > threshold, with a 0.1% swap fee as realistic friction. Past performance is no indicator of future results.

Where this strategy fits

  • Maximum crypto beta in a decentralized wrapper
  • Largest share in the two most liquid crypto assets
  • Higher threshold tolerance reduces trade friction

Things you should know

  • 50%+ drawdowns are historically normal and part of the strategy
  • If you cannot tolerate the risk emotionally, panic-selling in bear phases erodes real capital
  • Only meaningful with ≥ 2 years of investment horizon